Where it stands
Seats in the new Congress
Still uncalled
The tide in every House race
The lab's 32 battleground races
The races the lab followed on election night, chosen before the votes were counted. Tap a row to open the race.
Blue Dog races
The 31 races the Blue Dog Coalition, the House's centrist Democrats, is tracking tonight: its members defending seats and its candidates trying to take seats from Republicans.
The Senate
All 35 Senate races tonight, the pivotal ones first: Decision Desk HQ's pre-election rating, the count, who leads, and what the chamber looks like if every leader holds. Republicans hold 53 seats going in.
Misc races
Governors tonight (Texas first), and the House races anywhere in the country that are running furthest from Decision Desk HQ's forecast, as the count comes in.
Governors
Biggest surprises in the House tonight
Every district with at least half its expected vote counted, ranked by CAPE score (margin minus the forecast margin, from the leader's side). Early in a count this mostly reflects which ballots got counted first.
The 32 races to watch
Every House race at least one forecaster calls a toss-up, plus CA-13. Tap a race for its scoreboard, both sides' case and the money.
Is turnout up in blue or red places?
Each dot is a county. Left to right: how it voted in 2024. Up and down: tonight's votes as a share of its 2022 (or 2018) midterm vote. Solid dots are counties that report all their votes counted.
CAPE alum races
Two former UC Merced students from the simulation course, running for State Senate.
The Valley's legislative races
Every Assembly and State Senate race that takes in part of Fresno, Madera, Merced, Stanislaus or San Joaquin County. Tap a race to open it.
Every California legislative race
All 20 State Senate seats on the ballot and all 80 Assembly seats, straight from the Secretary of State. Tap a row for the full candidate list and counts.
State Board of Equalization, District 1
Nelson Esparza (D), Fresno City Council president, vs. Shannon Grove (R), former Senate Republican leader, for the State Board of Equalization's District 1, which runs through the Central Valley.
Propositions
Every statewide measure on the ballot: what a yes and a no vote do, and the count so far.
Merced County
City councils, school boards, special districts and local measures on Merced County's ballot, and the Valley's seat on the State Board of Equalization.
State Board of Equalization, District 1
Nelson Esparza (D) vs. Shannon Grove (R) for the elected tax board's Valley seat; an open seat. Statewide and Valley county numbers from the Secretary of State.
Ask the lab
Type a question about tonight's numbers. Claude answers from the data on this page: the 32 races, the money, and every county's 2018, 2022 and 2024 votes plus tonight's count.
Every answer is saved to Asked & answered, and guests see it on their phones within about 10 minutes.
Asked & answered
Every question put to the lab tonight, newest first. Cards marked Updating re-ask their question every 10 minutes as the count changes. Guests see these on their phones.