The night for the caucus
Ahead of the ticket, race by race
Each candidate's two-way share minus their party's candidate for Senate or governor in the same counties (weighted by this race's votes), in points. Bars to the right run ahead of the ticket; the line is even. Races in states with no Senate or governor race this year fall back to the 2024 presidential comparison, marked with *.
The full table
Tap a column to sort. Districts with a full page are links. "vs. Harris/Trump '24" includes the national shift, so read it next to the ticket comparison; "vs. registration" is context, not a benchmark (party registration where the state has it, as compiled by Decision Desk HQ).